A method for providing a virtual age estimation for predicting the remaining
lifetime
of a device of a given type, comprises the steps of monitoring a predetermined
number of significant parameters of respective ones of a training set of devices
of the given type, the parameters contributing respective wear increments, determining
coefficients of a radial basis function neural network for modeling the wear increments
determined from the training set operated to failure and whereof the respective
virtual ages are normalized substantially to a desired norm value, deriving from
the radial basis function neural network a formula for virtual age of a device
of the given type, and applying the formula to the significant parameters from
a further device of the given type for deriving wear increments for the further device.