Disclosed herein are systems and methods for demand forecasting that
enable multiple-scenario comparisons and analyses by letting users create
forecasts from multiple history streams (for example, shipments data,
point-of-sale data, customer order data, return data, etc.) with various
alternative forecast algorithm theories. The multiple model framework of
the present invention enables users to compare statistical algorithms
paired with various history streams (collectively referred to as
"models") so as to run various simulations and evaluate which model will
provide the best forecast for a particular product in a given market.
Once the user has decided upon which model it will use, it can publish
forecast information provided by that model for use by its organization
(such as by a downstream supply planning program). Embodiments of the
present invention provide a system and method whereby appropriate demand
responses can be dynamically forecasted whenever given events occur, such
as when a competitor lowers the price on a particular product (such as
for a promotion), or when the user's company is launching new sales and
marketing campaigns. Preferred embodiments of the present invention use
an automatic tuning feature to assist users in determining optimal
parameter settings for a given forecasting algorithm to produce the best
possible forecasting model.