A method and system for financial modeling to predict the amount of
liquidity needed to support a portfolio of assets that is being financed
in the commercial paper market, or any other market that is sensitive to
the provision of liquidity. As the ability to access these markets is
related to the rating of the assets, the model simulates rating movements
over time and uses historical funding information of like assets to make
estimates of future funding needs. Many aspects of the funding (draw)
process are simulated (i.e., likelihood of draw, likelihood of continuing
draw, and extent of draw amount). The result of the model is an estimate
of reduced liquidity needs that is less than if the underlying assets
were guaranteed individually, providing economic savings for the
liquidity provider. A model is also described that predicts the required
characteristics of a group of institutions jointly functioning as
liquidity provider to the pool.