A method and computer-based apparatus for monitoring the degradation of,
predicting the remaining service life of, and/or planning maintenance
for, an operating system are disclosed. Diagnostic information on
degradation of the operating system is obtained through measurement of
one or more performance characteristics by one or more sensors onboard
and/or proximate the operating system. Though not required, it is
preferred that the sensor data are validated to improve the accuracy and
reliability of the service life predictions. The condition or degree of
degradation of the operating system is presented to a user by way of one
or more calculated, numeric degradation figures of merit that are trended
against one or more independent variables using one or more mathematical
techniques. Furthermore, more than one trendline and uncertainty interval
may be generated for a given degradation figure of merit/independent
variable data set. The trendline(s) and uncertainty interval(s) are
subsequently compared to one or more degradation figure of merit
thresholds to predict the remaining service life of the operating system.
The present invention enables multiple mathematical approaches in
determining which trendline(s) to use to provide the best estimate of the
remaining service life.