A method of underwriting group life insurance for a policy period includes
collecting medical claims data for the group to be underwritten, where
each medical claim being related to a particular employee of the group.
Morbidity categories are provided that categorize the medical claims in
the medical claims data. A conditional probability model is developed and
applied to the morbidity categories for each employee in the group using
his medical claims, thereby calculating the expected conditional
probability for each employee dying during the policy period. For each
employee, an estimate of the expected life claim cost is estimated using
an index of the life coverage to salary. Combining the expected
conditional probability for each employee dying during the policy period
with the estimate of the expected claim cost of death gives an estimate
of the group's total life exposure.