System, method and framework for generating scenarios used in risk
management applications. The present invention is based on a generic
framework that provides levels of abstraction, segregates risk factors
and models, and structures a scenario generation process. In one aspect
of the present invention, there is provided a framework for scenario
generation for use in a risk management application, where the framework
defines a plurality of components associated with a scenario set, where
each component is represented by at least one of a set of data
structures, and where the set of data structures comprises: at least one
first data structure defining a group of risk factors with similar
statistical properties; at least one second data structure defining the
future distribution or evolutionary process of a risk factor in the group
of risk factors; a third data structure defining a calibrated model for
generating scenarios, where relationships between risk factors of the
group of risk factors are defined therein, and where the calibrated model
associates each second data structure with a first data structure; and a
fourth data structure specifying how the first, second, and third data
structures are to apply to a user-specified risk management problem.