The present invention provides a method and system for valuing patent
assets based on statistical survival analysis. An estimated value
probability distribution curve is calculated for an identified group of
patent assets using statistical analysis of PTO maintenance fee records.
Expected valuations for individual patent assets are calculated based on
a the value distribution curve and a comparative ranking or rating of
individual patent assets relative to other patents in the group of
identified patents. Patents having the highest percentile rankings would
be correlated to the high end of the value distribution curve.
Conversely, patents having the lowest percentile rankings would be
correlated to the low end of the value distribution curve.
Advantageously, such approach brings an added level of discipline to the
overall valuation process in that the sum of individual patent valuations
for a given patent population cannot exceed the total aggregate estimated
value of all such patents. In this manner, fair and informative
valuations can be provided based on the relative quality of the patent
asset in question without need for comparative market data of other
patents or patent portfolios, and without need for a demonstrated (or
hypothetical) income streams for the patent in question. Estimated
valuations are based simply on the allocation of a corresponding portion
of the overall patent value "pie" as represented by each patents'
relative ranking or position along a value distribution curve.