A system for the representation, editing, evaluation, and inference of
graphical models is disclosed which can be used to construct and evaluate
a graphical model or graphical network and to calculate inference values.
An efficient method of updating graphical models is demonstrated, and
provides the basis for an improved system for manipulation and evaluation
of probabilistic models. The graphical network editor is useful in the
construction of graphical modes such as Bayesian Networks. The graphical
network and network graphical user interface (GUI) are used in
conjunction with each other to model a system wherein failure
probabilities and the current state of components are taken into account
to monitor the health and progress of a system for an engineer or
engineering software to evaluate and monitor. The evaluation is useful in
the monitoring of assets and other real systems having multiple,
dependent, and independently operating components such as a pump, a
manufacturing plant, a production line, an assembly line, where asset
health and quality control is a concern. The asset components each
influencing some overall outcome of a system or situation. Success or
failure or probability of success, probability of failure and health of
the system can be monitored and manipulated by altering the values of
prior probability and posterior probability values. Failure correlation
between components can be evaluated wherein failure rates of asset is
unknown. Production and quality can be monitored and altered.