The invention relates to a method for calculating in a network that
comprises links a distribution of forward prices for using the links in
the network. The method comprises the following steps:a) a provision step
for providing an observed forward price of a forward contract for each of
the links,b) a determination step for deriving from the observed forward
prices a proposed joint distribution of forward prices by applying a
forward pricing process to each of the links, thereby generating a
geographical arbitrage in the network;c) an arbitrage reduction step for
reducing the geographical arbitrage in the proposed joint distribution of
forward prices by a geographical arbitrage reduction value;d) a
verification step for verifying if the proposed joint distribution of
forward prices together with the observed forward prices has a defined
property in response to the determination step and the arbitrage
reduction step;if the verification step results in the defined property
being not presente) a generation step for generating a property reduction
value;repeating the determination step, the arbitrage reduction step and
the verification step, applying the property reduction value to the
forward pricing process of each of the links.